Quotes come from Yahoo Finance and are delayed, measured against the previous close. Yields and macro series come from FRED. Releases are pulled directly from the Federal Reserve, US Treasury, ECB and BLS. Readings are produced by a small open model running on Cloudflare, reasoning only over the data on this page — it has no access to news beyond the releases shown, so treat thin readings as thin. Scenarios are conditional, not forecasts, and the assay mark shows how legible the drivers are, not the odds of any outcome. This is information for your own judgement, not investment advice.